PayMetric Labs
Australia · Tax Refund9 min read18 August 2026

Am I Owed a Tax Refund in Australia? PAYG vs Actual Tax Explained (2026-27)

By PayMetric Labs Research Desk

On a $95,000 salary paid fortnightly with $580 in claimed work-related deductions (400 work-from-home hours plus $300 of tools), PayMetric's own PAYG-withholding model estimates about $20,930 withheld through the year against $20,734 of actual tax payable, an estimated $196 refund. Here's why most PAYG employees who claim any deductions end up with at least a small refund, when you end up owing extra instead, and how the ATO's withholding tables actually work.

Key facts at a glance

PAYG withheld (example)

$20,930

$95K salary, fortnightly

Actual tax payable

$20,734

after $580 deductions

Estimated refund

$196

in the example

These figures are PayMetric's own modelled estimates, computed from the same engine that powers the Tax Refund Calculator below, not official ATO figures for any individual taxpayer.

Here's the direct answer before the mechanics: on a $95,000 salary paid fortnightly with $580 in claimed work-related deductions (400 hours working from home plus $300 of tools), you'd be looking at roughly $20,930 withheld through PAYG across the year against $20,734 of actual tax payable, an estimated refund of about $196. That's not a coincidence: most PAYG employees who claim any work-related deductions get at least a small refund, because PAYG withholding is calculated on gross pay before any deductions exist.

Whether you get a refund, and how big it is, comes down to one comparison: what your employer withheld from your pay through the year, versus what your actual tax bill turns out to be once your real, deduction-reduced taxable income is known. Your own numbers depend on your salary, pay frequency, and what you can substantiate at lodgment.

Work out your own refund or amount owed with your salary and deductions.

Open the Tax Refund Calculator

Why PAYG withholding and your actual tax bill are two different numbers

Every payday, your employer withholds an estimate of your tax using the ATO's PAYG withholding tables. Those tables effectively take your regular pay-period gross, assume it repeats every period for the whole financial year, and apply the standard annual income tax brackets and Medicare Levy to that annualised figure, then divide the result back down per pay period. It's a genuinely different mechanism from simply taking your final annual tax bill and dividing it by the number of pay periods, though for someone with steady, continuous employment the two land close together.

Your actual tax payable, worked out once a year when you lodge your return, is calculated on your taxable income, which is your gross salary minus whatever work-related deductions you can substantiate. PAYG withholding never sees those deductions coming, your employer's payroll has no way to know what tools you'll buy or how many hours you'll log working from home, so it withholds as if your entire gross salary stays taxable all year. The moment you claim any deduction at lodgment, your actual tax bill drops below what was withheld, and the gap comes back to you.

The reverse happens when income your main employer's payroll never saw pushes your actual tax bill above what was withheld: a second job taxed at a lower rate than it should have been, investment or rental income with no PAYG withheld on it at all, or a pay rise partway through the year that your withholding rate hadn't caught up with.

Two worked examples on the same $95,000 salary

Same salary, same fortnightly pay, the only thing that changes is whether deductions are claimed. This is exactly the gap the Tax Refund Calculator shows for your own numbers.

ScenarioPAYG withheldActual tax payableResult
No deductions claimed$20,930$20,920+$10
$580 in deductions claimed$20,930$20,734+$196

Both scenarios use the same $95,000 gross salary paid fortnightly. Claiming the $580 in work-related deductions lowers taxable income and turns a near break-even position into an estimated $196 refund.

What this estimate doesn't cover

This model assumes steady, continuous pay at one job all year, the same assumption the ATO's own withholding tables make. It doesn't account for a second job, investment or rental income, bonuses or irregular pay, starting or finishing a job partway through the year, or the Low Income Tax Offset (which can make real withholding run slightly lower than this estimate below roughly $35,000/year). HECS/HELP is calculated separately too, use the dedicated HECS/HELP Repayment Calculator alongside this if you have a HELP debt. None of this is personalised tax advice; for your exact position, lodge through myTax or a registered tax agent.

The deductions that actually move the needle

Working from home under the ATO's fixed-rate method (70 cents per hour for 2025-26, covering energy, internet, phone and stationery costs in one rate) is the single most commonly claimed work-related deduction, and it needs nothing more than a logged record of your hours, a diary, roster, or timesheet works. Self-education directly tied to your current role, tools and equipment, union or professional fees, and income protection insurance held outside super round out the categories most standard employees can realistically substantiate without extensive record-keeping.

Enter your own hours and expenses on the Tax Refund Calculator to see exactly how much they shift your result.

Calculate your own refund or amount owed

Enter your salary, pay frequency and deductions to see PAYG withheld versus actual tax payable, band by band.

Open the Tax Refund Calculator

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Frequently asked questions

1

Am I owed a tax refund in Australia for 2026-27?

Most likely yes, if you have any work-related deductions to claim and a single, steady PAYG job. On a $95,000 salary paid fortnightly with $580 in deductions claimed (400 work-from-home hours at the ATO's fixed rate, plus $300 of tools), PayMetric's own model estimates about $20,930 withheld through the year against $20,734 of actual tax payable, a refund of roughly $196. The exact figure depends entirely on your own salary, pay frequency, and deductions, use the Tax Refund Calculator below for your own numbers.

2

Why does PAYG withholding usually end up higher than my actual tax bill?

Because PAYG withholding is calculated on your gross pay with no deductions factored in at all. Your employer's payroll system has no way of knowing what work-related expenses you'll claim at tax time, so it withholds tax as if your whole gross salary is taxable. Any deduction you claim when you lodge your return then lowers your actual taxable income below what PAYG assumed, which is exactly the gap that comes back as a refund.

3

When would I owe extra tax instead of getting a refund?

This happens when your actual tax payable ends up higher than what was withheld, usually because of income your main employer's payroll never saw. On the same $95,000 fortnightly salary with no deductions claimed at all, PAYG withholding and actual tax payable land close to each other ($20,930 withheld versus $20,920 payable), so a second job, investment or rental income with no tax withheld, or a pay rise your employer's withholding rate didn't catch up with in time can all tip that balance the other way.

4

What work-related deductions can I actually claim?

A typical PAYG employee can realistically claim working from home under the ATO's fixed-rate method (70 cents per hour for the 2025-26 year, covering energy, internet, phone and stationery in one rate), self-education directly connected to your current job, tools, equipment and professional subscriptions, union or professional association fees, and income protection insurance held outside super. These aren't the only deductions the ATO allows, but they're the ones most employees can substantiate without extensive record-keeping.

5

How does the ATO actually calculate PAYG withholding from my payslip?

The ATO publishes withholding formulas (Schedule 1) that effectively annualise your regular pay-period gross, assuming it repeats every period for the whole year, then apply the standard annual income tax brackets and Medicare Levy to that annualised figure, then divide the result back down per pay period. It's a genuinely different calculation from simply dividing your annual tax bill by the number of pay periods, though it lands close to it for standard, continuous employment.

6

Does my HECS/HELP debt affect my refund?

Yes, but it's calculated separately from income tax and the Medicare Levy. HECS/HELP repayments have their own marginal thresholds, withholding, and 1 June indexation, all covered on the dedicated HECS/HELP Repayment Calculator. If you have a HELP debt, factor that repayment in alongside the income-tax refund or amount owed shown here for your full picture.

7

Do I need receipts to claim these deductions and get the refund?

Yes. For most categories you need some form of substantiation: a logged record of work-from-home hours (a diary, roster, or timesheet) for the fixed-rate method, and receipts or invoices for self-education, tools, union fees, and insurance premiums. The ATO checks these, particularly work-from-home claims, so keep records through the year rather than reconstructing them at tax time.

8

Does changing my pay frequency (weekly, fortnightly, monthly) change how much refund I get?

Not your final refund, but it does change how PAYG is withheld along the way. The ATO's withholding schedules use slightly different rounding and coefficients for weekly, fortnightly, and monthly pay, so two people on the same annual salary paid on different cycles can see marginally different total withholding over the year, even though your actual tax payable at lodgment is calculated on the same annual taxable income either way. The calculator lets you pick your real pay frequency so the withheld figure matches your actual payslips.

9

I started or changed jobs partway through the year, does this estimate still work?

Not reliably. This model assumes steady, continuous PAYG income at one job for the full financial year, the same assumption the ATO's own standard withholding tables make. Starting, finishing, or switching jobs partway through the year changes how much was actually withheld in ways this simplified estimate doesn't capture, since each employer's payroll only sees the income it paid you, not your full-year total. Treat the result as a rough guide rather than a firm number in that situation, and confirm the real figure once you lodge.